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week 12 2021 nfl football picks
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п»їNFL Week 12 2020 picks.
Well, at least I’m consistent.
For Week 12, I went 6-8 straight up for the second straight week. I also went 6-8 against the spread.
MDS, in contrast, went 8-6 on straight-up games but 6-8 against the spread.
MDS is now 100-63, and I’m 97-66. Against the spread, I’ve at 73-83-4. MDS is 64-94-2.
Texans (-3) at Lions.
MDS’s take : The Texans are coming off perhaps their best performance of the season against the Patriots, and the Lions are coming off perhaps their worst against the Panthers. Houston will show it’s continuing to play hard for Romeo Crennel.
MDS’s pick : Texans 27, Lions 17.
Florio’s take : If the former Houston Roughnecks quarterback can master the Lions, the current Houston Texans quarterback should be able to do it, too.
Florio’s pick : Texans 24, Lions 17.
MDS’s take : It sounds ridiculous for two 3-7 teams, but this is a big one in the NFC East race. I think the Cowboys are going to make a statement.
MDS’s pick : Cowboys 28, Washington 14.
Florio’s take : Strength coach Markus Paul’s medical emergency wiped out Tuesday’s practice and left the players and coaches rattled. Playing on Thursday could be a welcome respite, and a way to pay tribute to Paul.
Florio’s pick : Cowboys 27, Washington 20.
MDS’s take : The Ravens would love nothing more than to be the team to give the Steelers their first loss of the season, but I just don’t see greatness from Baltimore this year. The Ravens are going to lose, and struggle to reach playoff contention.
MDS’s pick : Steelers 28, Ravens 20.
Florio’s take : The Ravens are on the ropes. It’s time for the Steelers to punch them through.
Florio’s pick : Steelers 23, Ravens 20.
Raiders (-3) at Falcons.
MDS’s take : The Raiders suffered a tough loss on Sunday night, but I like the way this team is playing. They shouldn’t have much trouble against a Falcons team that’s going nowhere.
MDS’s pick : Raiders 31, Falcons 17.
Florio’s take : Jon Gruden faces the guy who replaced Jon Gruden in Tampa. Jon Gruden currently has the better overall team.
Florio’s pick : Raiders 28, Falcons 20.
MDS’s take : I love Chargers rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, but the rest of the Chargers’ roster has a lot of holes in it, and I like the Bills to win big.
MDS’s pick : Bills 30, Chargers 20.
Florio’s take : The Bills surely would have preferred to get right back on the horse after the Hail Murray, but with two weeks to get ready for L.A., the Bills should be ready to make their run at the franchise’s first division title in 25 years.
Florio’s pick : Bills 31, Chargers 21.
Giants (-5.5) at Bengals.
MDS’s take : Without Joe Burrow, there’s not much reason to watch the Bengals this year. The Giants are playing hard and might just be the favorites to win the NFC East.
MDS’s pick : Giants 27, Bengals 14.
Florio’s take : Without Joe Burrow, the Bengals’ cupboard is bare-o.
Florio’s pick : Giants 20, Bengals 9.
MDS’s take : This game may be decisive in the AFC South race. I like the Colts’ defense to shut the Titans’ offense down and win a low-scoring game.
MDS’s pick : Colts 14, Titans 10.
Florio’s take : The Titans know the stakes. If they can avoid special-teams miscues, they should be able to even the season series.
Florio’s pick : Titans 24, Colts 20.
MDS’s take : The Panthers’ defense is coming off a shutout of the Lions, but the Vikings’ offense should put up plenty of points on Sunday.
MDS’s pick : Vikings 30, Panthers 13.
Florio’s take : Minnesota’s window is closing. It won’t slam shut just yet.
Florio’s pick : Vikings 28, Panthers 23.
Cardinals (-2.5) at Patriots.
MDS’s take : I have a very hard time seeing this Patriots Defense slowing down Kyler Murray & Co. The Cardinals should cruise in this one.
MDS’s pick : Cardinals 31, Patriots 21.
Florio’s take : If the Patriots couldn’t stop Deshaun Watson, they won’t be able to stop Kyler Murray.
Florio’s pick : Cardinals 24, Patriots 17.
Dolphins (-7) at Jets.
MDS’s take : The Jets are continuing their march to 0-16, and the Dolphins are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive. Tua Tagovailoa won’t get benched this time.
MDS’s pick : Dolphins 24, Jets 14.
Florio’s take : Miami gets the best chance to get things back on track.
Florio’s pick : Dolphins 27, Jets 13.
Browns (-7) at Jaguars.
MDS’s take : The Browns have a very good chance of getting to the playoffs, in part because of their easy schedule. This should be another easy win.
MDS’s pick : Browns 30, Jaguars 10.
Florio’s take : Cleveland gets a break from bad weather. The Jaguars don’t get a break from bad football.
Florio’s pick: Browns 24, Jaguars 13.
Saints (-6) at Broncos.
MDS’s take : The Saints will move to 2-0 with Taysom Hill at quarterback, and 7-0 in games Drew Brees has missed the last two years.
MDS’s pick : Saints 24, Broncos 20.
Florio’s take : Vic Fangio came up with a way to confuse Tua. Can Fangio do it again with Taysom? Not with Sean Payton drawing up the plays.
Florio’s pick : Saints 30, Broncos 13.
MDS’s take : The 49ers will play tough in this one, but they just don’t have the firepower to keep up with the Rams.
MDS’s pick : Rams 24, 49ers 21.
Florio’s take : The Rams get a chance to return the favor against the 49ers, at a time when the Rams are getting ready to make a run at the No. 1 seed.
Florio’s pick : Rams 27, 49ers 17.
Chiefs (-3.5) at Buccaneers.
MDS’s take : Sunday’s best game will give Patrick Mahomes a big opportunity to show that he has taken over Tom Brady‘s title of best quarterback in the NFL.
MDS’s pick : Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 21.
Florio’s take : The Bucs don’t have a prime-time problem; they have a big-game problem. And this is another one.
Florio’s pick : Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 24.
MDS’s take : This game probably represents the Bears’ last chance to establish themselves as playoff contenders, and I don’t think they have it in them.
MDS’s pick : Packers 27, Bears 20.
Florio’s take : Nick Foles or Mitch Trubisky, it doesn’t matter. The Packers get back on the right track, at least for now.
Florio’s pick : Packers 24, Bears 13.
Seahawks (-6) at Eagles.
MDS’s take : The Seahawks’ pass defense is weak, but Carson Wentz is weaker. Seattle shouldn’t have much trouble winning in Philadelphia.
MDS’s pick : Seahawks 34, Eagles 21.
Florio’s take : This was a playoff game last year. It won’t be this year.
Florio’s pick : Seahawks 30, Eagles 17.

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Super Bowl LV.
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2020): 9-6-1 (+$1,090) NFL Picks (Week 2, 2020): 13-3 (+$1,910) NFL Picks (Week 3, 2020): 12-4 (+$1,230) NFL Picks (Week 4, 2020): 6-7-2 (-$675) NFL Picks (Week 5, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,770) NFL Picks (Week 6, 2020): 5-9 (-$2,365) NFL Picks (Week 7, 2020): 6-7-1 (-$580) NFL Picks (Week 8, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,210) NFL Picks (Week 9, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,945) NFL Picks (Week 10, 2020): 5-8-1 (-$825) NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,935) NFL Picks (Week 12, 2020): 10-6 (+$2,395) NFL Picks (Week 13, 2020): 6-9 (-$235) NFL Picks (Week 14, 2020): 10-6 (+$1,330) NFL Picks (Week 15, 2020): 6-9-1 (+$210) NFL Picks (Week 16, 2020): 11-5 (+$1,140) NFL Picks (Week 17, 2020): 8-7-1 (+$985) NFL Picks (Week 18, 2020): 1-5 (-$1,430) NFL Picks (Week 19, 2020): 3-1 (+$285) NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250)
NFL Picks (2020): 137-124-7 (+$3,815) NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200) NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845) NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300) NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780) NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215) NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885) NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825) NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445) NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335) NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880) NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235) NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105) NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585) If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ. Vegas betting action updated Feb. 2, 2:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Super Bowl LV Pick Chiefs at Buccaneers.
Get more free NFL picks for every game Doc's Sports.
Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250) Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$400) Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 0-0 ($0) Last Week Over-Under (Week 20, 2020): 0-2 ($0) Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 20, 2020): -$150.
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-2, 50.0% (-$135)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-124-6, 52.5% (+$3,815) 2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965) 2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515) 2020 Season Over-Under: 140-122-6, 53.4% ($0) 2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$225.
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%) 2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%) 2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%) 2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%) 2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%) 2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%) 2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%) 2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%) 2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585) 2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105) 2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235) 2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880) 2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335) 2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445) 2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825) 2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885) 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%) 2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%) 2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%) 2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%) 2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%) 2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110) 2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510) 2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260) 2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180) 2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715) 2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130) 2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890) 2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820) 2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475) 2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395) 2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670) 2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%) 2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%) 2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%) 2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%) 2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%) 2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420) 2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055) 2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330) 2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790) 2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260) 2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650) 2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970) 2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120) 2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465) 2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595) 2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735) 2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%) 2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%) 2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%) 2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%) 2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%) 2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%) 2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900) 2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860) 2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195) 2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5) 2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135) 2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30) 2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340) 2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0) 2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95) 2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640) 2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225) 2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035 2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775 2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865 2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200 2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590 2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685 2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245 2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855 2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275 2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510 2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495 2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715.
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%) 2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400) 2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720) 2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640) 2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810) 2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870) 2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560) 2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900) 2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350) 2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100) 2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780) 2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040) 2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640) 2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,994-2,761-179, 52.0% (+$14,120) Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 957-859-49 (52.7%) Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 452-396-23 (53.3%) Career Over-Under: 2,462-2,416-66 (50.5%) Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%) Career NFL Picks of the Month: 44-29-1 (60.3%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Super Bowl 2021 odds, spread, line: Buccaneers vs. Chiefs predictions, prop bets, NFL betting favorite, picks.
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Super Bowl LV is under one week away and the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to play on football’s biggest stage. Tom Brady will try to add to his NFL record book, while Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to become the first team to win back-to-back Super Bowls since Brady did it with the Patriots in 2003 and 2004. See below for odds, picks, analysis and more for the 2021 Super Bowl. Plus, click here to get an EDGE with Rotoworld Premium for betting trends, live odds and more.
Super Bowl 2021 odds, favorite, spread, line.
According to PointsBet, the Kansas City Chiefs are this year’s favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the Lombardi Trophy. See more on the point spread, moneyline and points total below:
Super Bowl 2021 prop bets.
Super Bowl LV picks, predictions.
Hayden Winks’ picks: The Super Bowl opening line started at Chiefs -3 with an over/under of 57.5 points, and I took the Chiefs and the under immediately after projecting a 30-24 final. The under is my favorite bet right now between the sides and total for a few reasons. Peter King’s Super Bowl LV preview.
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Week 12 matchup (Rotoworld)
The Week 12 Final Score Is Misleading.
The final score could’ve been closer to 38-24 if the Chiefs hadn’t coughed up a red zone fumble and settled for two red zone field goals, if the Chiefs kept their foot on the gas in the second half instead of chewing clock, or if Mike Evans hadn’t scored two garbage-time touchdowns in the fourth quarter. This game was a textbook example of how the final score doesn’t tell the full story.
Super Bowl LV player projections from Hayden Winks (Rotoworld)
Kansas City Chiefs projections.
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB : Patrick Mahomes‘ projection looks crazy — nobody ever projects for 350 yards — but the Chiefs are very likely to throw 35-50 times against the Bucs. (Projection here) Chiefs Wide Receivers : WR Tyreek Hill went so nuclear against the Bucs in Week 12 (12-263-3) that I spent the 30 minutes it took to clip all of his touches from that game (video). The Bucs switched up their coverages then, but Hill kept getting open. I don’t think the Bucs have a single corner capable of hanging with Hill when they go to Cover 3 or Cover 1 man. (Projection here)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers projections.
Tom Brady, Buccaneers QB: Tom Brady also projects well. The Bucs may run the ball early — Kansas City’s defense faced the 28th-highest neutral pass rate this season because the Chiefs are typically light in the box — but Tampa’s projected game script favors a pass-heavy game as three-point dogs. (Projection here) Buccaneers Wide Receivers : Before the NFC Championship, Antonio Brown was reportedly “day-to-day”. It’s unknown if he’ll play in the Super Bowl, but I left him for now. Even at full health, Brown is not an every-down player. He lines up wide only in three-receiver sets and could even be pushed by Scotty Miller, who scored a long touchdown last game. (Projection here)
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NFL odds, lines, spreads, picks, predictions for Week 12, 2020: Proven model loving Giants, Colts.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 12 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The Week 12 NFL schedule features eight games in the early window on Sunday, three in the late window and primetime games on Sunday night, Monday night, and Tuesday night. The defending champion Chiefs are 9-1 and will visit the Buccaneers (7-4) in a potential Super Bowl preview on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Chiefs are 3.5-point road favorites, with the over-under at 56 in the Week 12 NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook.
On Sunday Night Football, the oldest rivalry in the NFL will be renewed when the Packers (7-3) host the Bears (5-5). Green Bay is a 9.5-point home favorite in the Week 12 NFL spreads for the teams' 201st all-time meeting. All of the Week 12 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 12 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's a sizzling 19-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, already returning almost $800. The model enters Week 12 on an incredible 115-75 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 12 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 12.
One of the top Week 12 NFL picks the model recommends: The Giants (-6) cover on the road against the Bengals. Cincinnati is just 2-7-1 on the season but there was reason for optimism because of the play of rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. However, Burrow suffered a torn ACL that ended his season and the Bengals will now turn to Brandon Allen as their starter in Week 12.
The Giants have won two games in a row and should be refreshed coming off a bye week. After failing to produce 350 yards of total offense in their first seven games, the Giants have crossed that threshold in their last three contests.
SportsLine's model predicts that the Giants will put up well over 350 yards of total offense once again. That's a big reason why New York covers in nearly 60 percent of simulations, while the over (44) has plenty of value.
Another one of the top Week 12 NFL predictions from the model: The Colts (-3) cover against the Titans in a key AFC South clash. Both teams boast a 7-3 record, four games clear of the third-place Texans. And with the division looking like a two-team race, Indianapolis picked up the crucial tiebreaker by knocking off the Titans in Week 11.
The Titans picked up a gutsy overtime win at Baltimore this past week, but haven't been strong overall on the road this year, going just 1-3 against the spread. The simulations show Indianapolis holding Titans running back Derrick Henry under 100 yards on the ground as the Colts cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. The under (51.5) also has plenty of value since that hits almost 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 12 NFL picks.
The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 12 NFL schedule and identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard in a shocking upset. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 12? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks.

NFL picks, predictions for Week 12: Packers bounce back vs. Bears; Buccaneers beat Chiefs in thriller.
The playoff race in the NFL is heating up, and Week 12 is about teams taking care of business if they want to keep pace.
The Sunday schedule features just one matchup between teams with winning records. That's the 4:25 p.m. ET game between Kansas City and Tampa Bay – another showcase game for quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady. The rest of the schedule features matchups in which several teams are looking to play spoiler.
The next-best matchup on the schedule is the timeless rivalry between NFC North rivals Green Bay and Chicago. The Packers can extend their lead in the division to three games with a victory.
Here is a look at our track record in picking games straight-up in 2020:
Last Week: 6-8 Season: 62-47.
With that as the mind, below are our picks and predictions for the rest of Week 12:
NFL picks, predictions for Week 12.
Houston Texans (-2.5) at Detroit Lions.
Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Lions have lost their last three Thanksgiving games, and they are coming off a listless performance in a 20-0 shutout against the Panthers. Houston has won two of its last three, and Deshaun Watson hasn’t thrown an interception in five games.
Pick: Texans 28, Lions 23.
Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys (-2.5)
Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET, FOX.
Andy Dalton was knocked out the last time the Cowboys played the Redskins, and this game might have NFC East title implications. Dallas plays more inspired, however, and Dalton throws the game-winning TD to CeeDee Lamb late in the fourth quarter.
Pick: Cowboys 23, Washington 20.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)
Tuesday, 8 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Ravens have lost three of their last four games, and they have been limited to 24 points or less in the last four games. Baltimore is depleted with 20 players on the COVID reserve list and will play with a sense of desperation, but they must get to Ben Roethlisberger – who has averaged 302 passing yards per game the last three weeks.
Pick: Steelers 29, Ravens 26.
Las Vegas Raiders (-3.5) at Atlanta Falcons.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Falcons are just 1-4 at home, and Julio Jones' hamstring injury will be something to monitor throughout the week. The Raiders, meanwhile, are 4-1 on the road – and that includes a cross-country-flight-victory against Carolina in Week 1. Expect a similar game.
Pick: Raiders 31, Falcons 26.
Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills (-5.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Justin Herbert continues to impress as a rookie, and he has two 300-yard games in the last three weeks. The Chargers have yet to win a road game, and the Bills had a bye week to stew about the Hail Mary loss to the Cardinals. The weather won't be a factor, but Josh Allen will take advantage of a weak Chargers' defense.
Pick: Bills 28, Chargers 21.
New York Giants (-5) at Cincinnati Bengals.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Bengals lost Joe Burrow for the season, and the Giants should be able to get after Ryan Finley – who took four sacks against Washington last week. Daniel Jones leads a low-risk passing attack, and New York wins its third consecutive game. It will be close.
Pick: Giants 20, Bengals 16.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Colts and Titans meet in a rematch, and both teams are coming off emotional overtime victories. It's all about adjustments in the AFC South rematch, and Ryan Tannehill has to make a few more plays in the passing game. The Titans get payback with a late TD run from Derrick Henry.
Pick: Titans 27, Colts 24.
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The opportunity for a Teddy Bridgewater revenge game is appealing, but if he can't play P.J. Walker proved that that offense can still function. Kirk Cousins has more support, and he has thrown just one interception in his last four games. Dalvin Cook will keep the running game going.
Pick: Vikings 27, Panthers 21.
Miami Dolphins (-7) at New York Jets.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Tua Tagovailoa took his first loss as a starter against Denver, and he took six sacks. The Jets – the first team to be eliminated from the postseason – do not have the same pass-rushing ability. Tagovailoa makes the right adjustments, and the Dolphins get back on track in the AFC playoff hunt.
Pick: Dolphins 30, Jets 22.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at New England Patriots.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Patriots are all but out of the playoff race, and the Cardinals are trying to get back on track after a loss to the Seahawks. Arizona's defense has allowed 28 points or more the last four weeks. Will Bill Belichick come up with some defensive wrinkles that test Kyler Murray's patience? Or will Murray do what Deshaun Watson just did to New England? Here is this week's out-of-the-box upset pick.
Pick: Patriots 28, Cardinals 26.
Cleveland Browns (-6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars.
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS.
The Browns' defense stepped up with Myles Garrett, and Nick Chubb continues to shine. Cleveland is 4-0 when Chubb rushes for 100 yards or more this season, and that streak continues. This also is a chance for Baker Mayfield to get back on track in nicer weather.
Pick: Browns 28, Jaguars 14.
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Denver Broncos.
Sunday, 4:05 p.m., FOX.
Taysom Hill won his first start against the Falcons, but this is an interesting road test knowing the Broncos have won their last two home games. The Saints have the league's best run defense, so Drew Lock will have to force the issue more. That will lead to turnovers, and New Orleans will take advantage.
Pick: Saints 28, Broncos 20.
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-6.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m., FOX.
The Rams had a bye week to prepare for the rematch with the 49ers. San Francisco won the first matchup with three TDs from Jimmy Garoppolo, but the 49ers have been riddled with injuries since. Jared Goff leads the Rams to victory with another efficient performance.
Pick: Rams 27, 49ers 23.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
Tom Brady is in yet another big game, and this is the fourth head-to-head meeting against Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have won five straight, but the defense has allowed 31 points in each of the last two games. Tampa Bay's defense comes up huge in the second half, and Brady delivers a vintage game-winning drive in the fourth quarter. Rematch in the Super Bowl?
Pick: Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 30.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-8)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
Division rivals meet, and the Packers can bounce back after an overtime loss at Indianapolis. The Bears' offensive struggles are well-documented, and Green Bay will bounce back with another big game from Aaron Rodgers. The last five meetings between these teams have been decided by eight points or less.
Pick: Packers 26, Bears 19.
Seattle Seahawks (-5) at Philadelphia Eagles.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN.
The Eagles are clinging to a half-game lead in a bad NFC East, and the Seahawks are not the team they want to be facing. Russell Wilson broke out of his funk against the Cardinals, and Seattle will take advantage of Philadelphia's run defense.

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