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top 10 fantasy football picks
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Fantasy Football Rankings 2020: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from same model that nailed Winston's huge season.
SportsLine simulated the 2020 NFL season 10,000 times and identified Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts.
The 2020 NFL season is just hours away, and those Fantasy football owners lucky to have last-minute drafts can leverage every piece of information at their disposal. Being able to draft after teams have left training camp means owners can judge where players like new Buccaneers running back Leonard Fournette and defenses like the Broncos, who reportedly lost linebacker Von Miller for the season with an ankle injury, belong in their 2020 Fantasy football rankings. As Week 1 looms, being able to have an informed 2020 Fantasy football draft prep is key.
Having a reliable set of Fantasy football rankings 2020 is critical so owners can build depth entering a season with plenty of variables. Before going on the clock in your drafts, be sure to check out the 2020 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 100, but the model pegged him as the No. 9 Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish ahead of players like Drew Brees, Carson Wentz and Baker Mayfield, all of whom went off the board much earlier. Winston ended up being the No. 4 scoring Fantasy QB overall, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine's advice got plenty of value with that pick.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying Baker Mayfield as a bust, Mark Andrews as a breakout and Derrick Henry as a sleeper in 2019. Additionally, it's called past sleepers like Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, as well as Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players such as those likely made a run at their league title. This model is power by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2020 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2020 Fantasy football sleepers.
One of the 2020 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew. The sixth-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft found his way into the starting lineup for Jacksonville when Nick Foles broke his collarbone and did enough as the starter for the Jaguars to trade Foles away this offseason.
Minshew completed 60.6 percent of his passes for 3,271 yards and 21 touchdowns with just six interceptions as a rookie while adding 344 rushing yards. Minshew ranked sixth in the NFL in play-action completion percentage (71.6) and fifth in deep-ball completion percentage (45.1). That's why the model ranks him ahead of quarterbacks like Matthew Stafford and Ben Roethlisberger, who are going at least 25 picks earlier on average.
Top 2020 Fantasy football breakouts.
The model is also projecting Broncos tight end Noah Fant as one of its top 2020 Fantasy Football breakouts. Fant flashed potential as a rookie in 2019, with three games with at least 11 points in PPR leagues. He also finished his rookie campaign second on the team in receiving yards (562), targets (66) and touchdowns (three). He built a solid rapport with quarterback Drew Lock last season and averaged 14.1 yards per reception, which ranked behind only New Orleans' Jared Cook among tight ends.
Despite his strong production as a rookie, owners have been waiting until the 12th round, according to the latest 2020 Fantasy football ADP, to draft him. SportsLine's model says he's a complete steal at that point. In fact, Fant is projected to outperform tight ends such as Tyler Higbee (10th-round ADP) and Hayden Hurst (10th), making him one of the top 2020 Fantasy football breakouts you should be all over.
Top 2020 Fantasy football busts.
As for players to avoid, the model lists Bills running back Devin Singletary as one of its biggest 2020 Fantasy Football busts. The former Florida Atlantic standout turned in a strong rookie season in 2019, rushing for 775 yards on 151 carries and scoring two touchdowns in 12 games. Singletary also caught 12 passes for 94 yards and two more scores, but a hamstring injury kept him out six weeks.
Singletary's stats are misleading since he was given just three goal-line carries in 2019. Quarterback Josh Allen was a major goal-line factor for the Bills, while the presence of rookie Zack Moss and veteran T.J. Yeldon will also cut into Singletary's scoring chances. SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2020 agree, ranking Singletary behind 10th-round options like Moss, Marlon Mack and J.K. Dobbins despite a 2020 Fantasy football ADP of 65.42.
How to find proven 2020 Fantasy football football rankings.
SportsLine is also extremely high on an overlooked wide receiver who is going off in the middle rounds of 2020 Fantasy football drafts. This receiver is ranked in the top 10 at his position and in line to outperform receivers being taken much earlier like Mike Evans and Amari Cooper. You can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2020 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which WR1 candidate can you wait on until late? Visit SportsLine now to get 2020 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Jameis Winston's huge season, and find out.


Mock Draft: Drafting with the 10th Overall Pick Based off Awesemo’s Projections | Travis Kelce?
In this series, we’ll look at a mock draft conducted from each draft slot and break down the best choice and some alternatives at each selection. We’ll look at the individual player selection and how each player fits into the overall roster construction of the team, and then look at what selection Awesemo’s rankings would have made. The mock is for a three-receiver, two-back, half-PPR league. Here we look at winning your fantasy football draft with the 10th overall pick.
Awesemo Fantasy Football Draft Kit.
Tired of the industry consensus and of the hot take machine? How about a data driven approach for a change? The world’s #1 daily fantasy player has put his projections talents to work, creating Awesemo’s first ever Fantasy Football Draft Kit. In it, users will receive access to:
All this for just $29.95 and that includes a $35 credit for new users at FFPC. Sign up HERE!
Fantasy Football Mock Draft from the 10th Overall Pick.
Mock Draft 1.10 Selection: Clyde Edwards-Helaire.
Alternative: Lamar Jackson.
Every draft room is different. Edwards-Helaire usually goes inside the top-10 but this league had nine players who don’t want the Chiefs lead back. Their loss. Kansas City backs have scored 19 touchdowns per season over the past three years. Without Damien Williams in the fold, DeAndre Washington and Darwin Thompson are flimsy barriers to Edwards-Helaire owning a large share of those scores.
Awesemo’s rankings have Jackson as a slightly better pick here, but taking Edwards-Helaire allows this team to get a unique build with another Chiefs weapon likely to be available in the second round. This roster is going to try to show off a punishing Kansas City stack.
Mock Draft 2.03 Selection: Travis Kelce.
Alternative: None.
Kelce is the best tight end in the league for fantasy purposes. He’s finished as the league’s top tight end in three of the past four seasons and hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2013. If another tight end falls in this draft, they can still be used in the flex.
Kelce was the highest-ranked player here and gives this roster another Chief. We’re praying that Mahomes is available in the third. Based on hundreds of drafts, he makes it to the 34th pick in under 10% of drafts.
Mock Draft 3.10 Selection: Chris Carson.
Alternative: James Conner, Todd Gurley.
There are a handful of backs here that Awesemo’s rankings like and Carson isn’t even the highest on the board. However, Carson is the highest-ranked with a low injury risk tag. With Edwards-Helaire yet to take a snap in the NFL, it makes sense to get some stability on this team. Carson led the Seahawks with 278 rushes. The team’s second-leading running back was Rashaad Penny , who suffered a knee injury that will likely force him to miss the first six weeks of 2020 while on the PUP list. That puts Carson on the edge of 300 carries. Floors don’t get much higher than that.
So Mahomes didn’t make it back. That’s fine, though, as Kelce and Edwards-Helaire are still tied to the same offense and should have roughly correlated outcomes. If Mahomes posts a season with 40 or more scores, both will smash.
Mock Draft 4.03 Selection: Robert Woods.
Alternative: Leonard Fournette.
Woods is a great floor option to get as this team’s first receiver. While Tyler Higbee and Cooper Kupp battled last season for fantasy production, Woods was steadily racking up fantasy points. He topped eight targets in 10 games and finished as the No. 22 receiver while scoring only two times. That’s the low-end outcome. If Woods picks up a few touchdowns, he could be a fringe WR1.
Awsemo’s rankings have Fournette as the choice here, but taking him locks this team into receivers for the next three to four rounds. That constraint is manageable but not one that should be taken lightly. Woods was ranked close enough that roster construction took precedence here.
Mock Draft 5.10 Selection: T.Y. Hilton.
Alternative: Kareem Hunt, D’Andre Swift.
Hilton does not get enough credit for how explosive he is. Julio Jones is the only active receiver with more 150-yard games than Hilton’s 12, and Hilton has hit that mark in over 10% of his games. The switch from Jacoby Brissett to Philip Rivers should return Hilton to a semblance of his former self, and that means matchup-winning upside on a weekly basis.
More Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.
Drafting With the No. 1 Overall Pick Drafting With the No. 2 Overall Pick Drafting With the No. 3 Overall Pick Drafting With the No. 4 Overall Pick Drafting With the No. 5 Overall Pick Drafting With the No. 6 Overall Pick Drafting With the No. 7 Overall Pick.
Mock Draft 6.03 Selection: D’Andre Swift.
Alternative: Kareem Hunt.
The Lions have struggled to get a rushing attack going over the past…decade. However, they haven’t had a back like D’Andre Swift yet. Swift was used in all facets of the game at Georgia. He racked up 2,267 yards on the ground and 513 through the air in his final two seasons. With multiple running backs on this roster already, it can afford to sit on Swift until he assumed a workhorse role in Detroit.
Running backs went early in this draft, but Awesemo’s rankings still side with ball carriers more often than not in half-PPR and non-PPR leagues. With two receivers on the roster, it made sense to dip back into the value at running back with Swift.
Mock Draft 7.10 Selection: Dak Prescott.
Alternative: Brandin Cooks.
Prescott quietly looked like Russell Wilson last year. He threw for 4,902 yards and 30 scores while posting an adjusted yards per attempt of 8.4. He also rushed for an additional 277 yards and three extra scores. The addition of CeeDee Lamb in the first round should help him keep up the blistering pace as he attempts to earn a massive contract this year.
Awesemo’s rankings aren’t particularly fond of Prescott’s inflated price this year, but in the late seventh round, he’s much more palatable.
Mock Draft 8.03 Selection: Brandin Cooks.
Alternative: CeeDee Lamb.
Cooks averaged 1,188 yards and eight scores per season from 2015 to 2018 and he didn’t miss a game. Then, last year, Cooks missed two games and looked hobbled in many others. If he’s healthy, four years of outstanding production say he should crush with Deshaun Watson lobbing him deep targets.
This team still had one more spot for a starting receiver and Awesemo’s projections like Cooks at his current ADP. The rankings also like Will Fuller, so a Watson-Fuller-Cooks stack would have been the play had Watson fallen like Prescott.
Mock Draft 9.10 Selection: CeeDee Lamb.
Alternative: None.
Lamb left Oklahoma as a junior after dropping 1,327 yards and 14 scores in his final season. Then the Cowboys affirmed his elite talent by drafting him with the 17th pick. However, his selection in this mock was based solely on game theory.
Awesemo’s rankings don’t love Lamb, but if Prescott has a good season, that either means Michael Gallup and Amari Cooper went off or Lamb broke out as a rookie. This team is in trouble if the former is true, so drafting Lamb is betting that passing on those two but not Prescott being the right approach to the Cowboys.
Mock Draft 10.03 Selection: Phillip Lindsay.
Alternative: None.
Lindsay isn’t projected to have a large role in Denver with Melvin Gordon owning the starting job, but he wasn’t projected to do much in the NFL at all. Lindsay’s 2,048 rushing yards are the second-most ever for an undrafted player through two seasons. If Gordon struggles to acclimate in Denver, Lindsay’s role could expand rapidly.
Blake Jarwin is another way to leverage Prescott having a good season without Gallup or Thomas going nuts on someone else’s roster. With Jason Witten gone, Jarwin is set to take a majority of the team’s snaps at tight end, and he has the athleticism dominate, especially in the red zone. Jarwin is 6-foot-5 and weighs a whopping 245 pounds. He still runs a 4.74, which is above average for all tight ends and makes him a matchup nightmare for linebackers or safeties.
Want some Fantasy Football vids? Check out our YouTube Channel!
Don’t forget to check out the loads of free content on our Fantasy Football home page, including more fantasy football breakouts, Sign up for just $29.95 (includes a $35 credit at FFPC for new users). Sign up HERE!




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