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nfl football picks week seven
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п»їNFL football pool, pick'em, office pool, confidence picks for Week 7, 2020: Back the Buccaneers.
SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top NFL office pool picks for Week 7.
The Chicago Bears have been one of the most unique 5-1 teams in NFL history, with four outright wins as underdogs and the chance to make it five in Week 7. The Bears face the Los Angeles Rams, who are favored by 5.5 points according to the latest NFL odds from William Hill. Should you back the Monsters of the Midway in your Week 7 NFL office pool picks? And if you pick them, how many points should you assign in your Week 7 NFL confidence pool picks?
Difficult questions like that abound in Week 7, with 10 games on the docket featuring NFL spreads of 5.5 points or less. That includes a Dallas vs. Washington game in which the line is a pick'em, meaning neither side is favored. Before you make your NFL picks, you need to see the Week 7 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. It's off to a hot 63-27 start to the 2020 season, and anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 7 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 7 NFL office pool predictions.
One of the top Week 7 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: Tampa Bay wins comfortably on the road against Las Vegas. The Buccaneers are coming off a dominant victory against the Packers despite being listed as three-point underdogs.
Now, they'll take on a Raiders defense that is giving up 30.4 points per game and ranks 30th in the NFL in turnovers created. Tom Brady hasn't set the world alight like some may have expected when he joined an offense that ranked third in scoring and third in total yardage with Jameis Winston at the helm, but the Buccaneers still rank eighth in the NFL in scoring, while their defense has been one of the surprises of the season.
Tampa Bay ranks first in yards allowed and has generated 22 sacks. Jason Pierre-Paul has been responsible for 5.5 of those and he'll try to shrink the pocket against Derek Carr on Sunday. The model predicts that the Buccaneers will record three sacks and force a pair of turnovers to help the Buccaneers win outright in 60 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 7 NFL office pool picks.
The model also made the call on every other Week 7 game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Cowboys vs. Washington and Steelers vs. Titans. It's also calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks here.

NFL Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 7.
NFL Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 7.
By Pete Fiutak October 24, 2020 4:48 pm.
By Pete Fiutak | October 24, 2020 4:48 pm.
NFL expert picks, predictions for Week 7, highlighted by Pittsburgh vs Tennessee, Chicago vs Los Angeles Rams, Seattle vs Arizona, San Francisco vs New England.
* next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover.
Thursday, October 22.
NY Giants at Philadelphia.
Gill Alexander, VSIN: Philadelphia Patrick Conn, Longhorns Wire: Philadelphia Jeff Feyerer, CFN: Philadelphia Pete Fiutak, CFN: Philadelphia Phil Harrison, Buckeyes Wire: Philadelphia Jeremy Mauss, MW Wire: Philadelphia Big Game Ben Niewoehner, CFN: Philadelphia Nick Shepkowski, Fighting Irish Wire: Philadelphia Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners: Philadelphia Keith Stewart, WinnersandWhiners: Philadelphia* Brian Stultz, Auburn Wire: Philadelphia Clucko the Chicken, CFN: NY Giants CONSENSUS PICK: Philadelphia.
Sunday, October 25.
Cleveland at Cincinnati.
– Cleveland at Cincinnati Prediction, Preview 1:00 CBS Line: Cleveland -3.5, o/u: 51.5 – Bet on this at BetMGM.
Gill Alexander, VSIN: Cleveland* Patrick Conn, Longhorns Wire: Cleveland Jeff Feyerer, CFN: Cleveland Pete Fiutak, CFN: Cleveland Phil Harrison, Buckeyes Wire: Cleveland Jeremy Mauss, MW Wire: Cleveland Big Game Ben Niewoehner, CFN: Cincinnati Nick Shepkowski, Fighting Irish Wire: Cincinnati Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners: Cleveland Keith Stewart, WinnersandWhiners: Cincinnati Brian Stultz, Auburn Wire: Cincinnati Clucko the Chicken, CFN: Cincinnati CONSENSUS PICK: Cincinnati.

NFL Week 7 game picks: Patriots top 49ers; Bucs best Raiders.
Around The NFL Editor.
Gregg Rosenthal went 8-6 on his predictions for Week 6 of the 2020 NFL season, bringing his total record to 56-34-1. How will he fare in Week 7? His picks are below.
Pittsburgh Steelers 28, Tennessee Titans 24.
It is disarming to realize Ryan Tannehill is the better quarterback in this matchup, because Ryan Tannehill is the better quarterback in almost every matchup. While he's kept up his insane efficiency on play-action and in the red zone, Tannehill's ability to avoid sacks, throw against pressure and be productive on straight dropbacks has improved from 2019. That ability to thrive just before being hit will be tested against a Steelers front with too many players worthy of double-teams, like Stephon Tuitt and Cameron Heyward. Big Ben might not be what he once was, but he needs to do a lot less than Tannehill to win these days.
Washington Football Team 22, Dallas Cowboys 20.
Kyle Allen giveth, and Kyle Allen taketh away. His fumble produced the Giants' go-ahead touchdown last week, then he led an impressive TD drive to get within a point, only to hesitate on a failed two-point conversion attempt that cost the team a win. Overall, the Washington offense looked better with him at the controls, and its defense has performed like a top-10 unit all season. I don't want to overreact to the Cowboys' Monday night meltdown, but their injury problems and league-worst turnovers and takeaways are year-long trends.
Buffalo Bills 33, New York Jets 10.
I'm not that worried about Josh Allen. He's played better than the numbers show the last two weeks, with his QB20 ranking from Pro Football Focus in those games sounding about right. I am that worried about the Bills' defense, which is soft up front and tentative in the back, like a nightmare mullet. To be clear: I'm not they could struggle with the Jets worried, because I've watched every Jets snap this season, just so you don't have to.
New Orleans Saints 30, Carolina Panthers 24.
Whether Michael Thomas returns or not this week, the Saints showed promising signs before their bye week. Their defensive line is healthier and more disruptive than it's been all season after the return of Marcus Davenport. Emmanuel Sanders has emerged as an every-week threat out wide. I'm curious to see how former New Orleans assistant Joe Brady, now running Carolina's offense, attacks Saints defensive coordinator Dennis Allen, who can get in his own way when trying to make his presence felt. When a team like the Panthers needs to win with scheme and coaching because their players aren't as talented, it's hard to pick them to win.
UPDATE: Thomas was ruled out on Friday with ankle and hamstring injuries. Earlier in the day, NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported the Saints are placing Sanders on the reserve/COVID-19 list and he will not play on Sunday.
Green Bay Packers 38, Houston Texans 33.
Which defense do you trust more? Despite superior depth on the defensive line, the Packers are ranked 30th in defensive DVOA, three spots behind the struggling Texans. Packers pass rusher Preston Smith is not making much of an impact this year, safety Adrian Amos is being exposed in coverage and coordinator Mike Pettine's group is struggling against the run, as usual. That sets up beautifully for Deshaun Watson, who has played terrific the last three weeks and has a deeper group of pass catchers than Green Bay has assembled for Aaron Rodgers. I expect Rodgers to bounce back strong in a similarly favorable matchup, but there should be a lot of fireworks along the way.
Cleveland Browns 27, Cincinnati Bengals 25.
It's an open question as to which quarterback is better in this game, despite their records. It's an open question as to which defense is better, too. The Browns have the edge when it comes to their offensive line, running game and coaching staff, but I wouldn't blame Cleveland fans for approaching this meeting with a mix of caution and dread.
Atlanta Falcons 30, Detroit Lions 27.
Good luck figuring either of these teams out, and good luck to the squad that enters the fourth quarter with a lead on Sunday. Both the Lions and Falcons were their best selves in blowout wins last week, a reminder for Atlanta that availability matters. It turns out that getting Julio Jones reinserted into the lineup helps. Detroit played swarming defense coming out of its bye week, but the surprisingly consistent meh play from quarterback Matthew Stafford has me spooked. Raheem Morris only needs to win this one and then nine more to guarantee his Coach of the Year award and Atlanta legacy.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31, Las Vegas Raiders 24.
This is a matchup between two improved teams that should both make the playoffs. The Bucs' pass rush will be tested against the Raiders' excellent offensive line. Jon Gruden and Derek Carr's laudable aggression in Kansas City will be tested against a playmaking defense waiting to pounce on mistakes. One week after slowing Davante Adams, rising Bucs cornerback Carlton Davis gets an even faster test against Henry Ruggs III. I love the Raiders' offense, but I haven't seen enough out of their defense yet to trust it against a Bucs group improving slightly each week. The biggest mismatch here is Tampa Bay's offensive line against Las Vegas' defensive line, which should allow Tom Brady plenty of time to find open receivers.
Los Angeles Chargers 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 21.
The best way for the Chargers to dodge their 3-13 record in one-score games since the start of last season would be to avoid them altogether, an attainable goal this week against the worst defense in football. The Bolts might get defensive starters Melvin Ingram and Justin Jones back from injured reserve. Keenan Allen and Joey Bosa had the bye week to get healthier. Yet, nothing is ever simple for this team, and I don't trust coach Anthony Lynn to stay aggressive with a lead, even when facing a Jaguars defense starting players signed off the street each week.
New England Patriots 22, San Francisco 49ers 20.
If I don't trust a team's passing game, I don't trust that team at all in the year 2020. I don't trust either of these teams' passing games. Cam Newton was hesitant to throw to open receivers last week, while 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan is hesitant to call plays that require Jimmy Garoppolo to throw beyond the line of scrimmage. In a battle of running games and defense, the slight edge goes to the team with the running quarterback, the superior secondary and Bill Belichick. But Kyle's dad often brought out the worst in Belichick, and a 2-4 start would be the worst in Foxborough since 2000, Belichick's first season there.
Kansas City Chiefs 30, Denver Broncos 27.
This is a dangerous matchup for the Chiefs. Their most convincing wins this season have been followed by letdowns, and Vic Fangio's underrated defense will make it tougher for Patrick Mahomes to convert third-and-longs when Andy Reid's new run-run-pass approach hits a roadblock. Drew Lock played better than his numbers showed last week, and the Broncos might be adding Melvin Gordon, Noah Fant and KJ Hamler to a potent offensive stew. Picking against the Chiefs is foolish, but I feel great picking the Broncos to keep the game closer than expected.
Seattle Seahawks 34, Arizona Cardinals 27.
The Cardinals have faced the fourth-easiest schedule in the league thus far, according to Football Outsiders. This week will begin to test their staying power. Their scheme has covered up talent shortcomings on the offensive line and with their pass rush, especially now that Chandler Jones is out. The Cardinals' rushing game figures to keep it going against Seattle because a Kyler Murray scramble is the most unstoppable play in football. But I worry about the Cardinals' outside cornerbacks holding up against DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett in yet another Seahawks game that figures to be a shootout.

NFL picks, predictions for Week 17: Browns edge Steelers; Packers dash Bears' playoff hopes; Washington wins NFC East.
Six playoff spots are still open heading into the final week of the NFL regular season. The AFC wild-card race and NFC home-field advantage race are among the big storylines heading into the final week.
There are four games between teams with winning records, and those are some of the more-interesting pieces of the puzzle. Pittsburgh and Cleveland meet at 1 p.m. with the Browns looking to clinch their first playoff berth since 2002. Miami also is looking to make the AFC playoffs with rookie Tua Tagovailoa, but they need to beat rival Buffalo to get there.
In the NFC, Arizona and Los Angeles meet in a huge NFC West showdown; one Jared Goff could miss with a thumb injury. Chicago is trying to sneak into the NFC playoffs too, but Green Bay is looking for home-field advantage with MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers.
Week 17 should be fantastic as a result, and it's one last chance to improve our straight-up picks record:
Last Week: 11-5 Season: 116-72.
With that as the mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 17:
NFL picks, predictions Week 17.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6)
Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX.
Tom Brady averages 311.3 passing yards with eight TDs and no interceptions in his last three games. He's warming up in time for the playoff run, and Tampa Bay hands Atlanta its 10th one-score loss of the season.
Pick: Buccaneers 31, Falcons 24.
Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) at New York Giants.
Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX.
The winner in the NFC East clash will put pressure on Washington to win in the prime-time spot. The Cowboys have averaged 36 points per game the last three weeks. The Giants have struggled to score. Andy Dalton puts Dallas on the cusp of a playoff berth. Will they get a little help?
Pick: Cowboys 30, Giants 20.
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-4.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS.
The opening line has dropped 5.5 points; a nod to the improvement from the Jets the last two weeks. The Patriots offense has slumped down the stretch, and Bill Belichick has an interesting offseason coming. New England closes with a victory.
Pick: Patriots 23, Jets 13.
Minnesota Vikings (-6.5) at Detroit Lions.
Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX.
Detroit has little incentive to play Matthew Stafford here. Dalvin Cook will not play, but it's another chance for Kirk Cousins to connect with Justin Jefferson. The Vikings finish it off in the fourth quarter.
Pick: Vikings 30, Lions 23.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (-7.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS.
The line has jumped up 3.5 points, which is a little eye-popping considering the Steelers won the first meeting 38-7. Which Cleveland players will be out because of COVID-19? Will the Steelers sit their starters or try to eliminate their AFC North rivals? This is a game we would stay away from because of those variables, but there is no better time for the Browns to break through than now.
Pick: Browns 26, Steelers 23.
Baltimore Ravens (-11) at Cincinnati Bengals.
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS.
The Ravens need this one to keep their playoff hopes alive, and rookie J.K. Dobbins has offered a spark in the running game to compliment Lamar Jackson. Cincinnati has not folded the last two weeks and is capable of being a spoiler. Jackson just won't let it happen.
Pick: Ravens 34, Bengals 21.
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-4)
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS.
Miami needs a win to get in the playoffs, and this could be every bit the thriller the 31-28 shootout in Week 2 was between the teams. The Dolphins pull the first real upset of the day, and Tua Tagovailoa enjoys his first signature victory.
Pick: Dolphins 28, Bills 24.
Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., FOX.
The Seahawks won the first meeting 37-27, but they must be careful here. C.J. Beathard threw three TD passes last week, and Jeff Wilson and George Kittle can give Seattle's defense problems. Russell Wilson delivers a clutch drive, however, and that puts the pressure on the Packers and Saints in the afternoon window.
Pick: Seahawks 28, 49ers 25.
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
The Rams are favored now, but this line could shift dramatically if Jared Goff (thumb) is unable to play. John Wolford is the Rams' backup, and Los Angeles faces the task of keeping up with Kyler Murray. The Cardinals have their own issues, but Murray does enough to scratch out a victory.
Pick: Cardinals 24, Rams 19.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-13.5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
The Colts are in a must-win situation, and they will rely on rookie Jonathan Taylor against a shaky Jaguars' run defense. Jacksonville has the No. 1 pick locked up, so the future of this AFC South rivalry is much brighter. Philip Rivers plays a clean game.
Pick: Colts 31, Jaguars 20.
Tennessee Titans (-4.5) at Houston Texans.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
The Titans still control their playoff destiny, and they will need a win against the rival Texans to get there. Houston ranks 31st in run defense, and Derrick Henry needs 223 yards to get to 2,000 rushing yards for the season. It's not impossible.
Pick: Tennessee 31, Houston 23.
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (-3)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
The Broncos have won one of their last five games, and the Raiders have lost three straight games. Derek Carr leads Las Vegas to a .500 record in Jon Gruden's third season, and that will increase expectations for 2021.
Pick: Raiders 28, Broncos 21.
Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Kansas City Chiefs.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., FOX.
The Chiefs have little incentive to play starters in this game, and that makes it tough to go against the Chargers and rookie quarterback Justin Herbert – who completes a record-setting season in style with a fourth straight victory.
Pick: Chargers 29, Chiefs 24.
Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Chicago Bears.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., FOX.
In the first meeting on Nov. 29, the Packers jumped out to a 27-3 lead in the first half, but Mitchell Trubisky found something in the second half of a 41-25 loss. He's been hot ever since and the offense is clicking. The problem? Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are clicking too, and they need this win for home-field advantage. Trubisky is 1-5 against Green Bay. The Packers pull through in the fourth quarter, but it will be close.
Pick: Packers 33, Bears 26.
New Orleans Saints (-4) at Carolina Panthers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., FOX.
The Saints still have a shot at home-field advantage with a little help. Alvin Kamara had 148 total yards in the first meeting, and he will be the difference on the road in yet another one-score loss for the Panthers.
Pick: Saints 30, Panthers 23.
Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles (-1)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m., NBC.
Washington needs a road victory here, but the question remains whether Alex Smith will be healthy enough to start at quarterback in a must-win situation. Jalen Hurts has a chance to play spoiler, and with the Cowboys watching closely, it will be close. Washington, however, comes up with a late turnover to clinch the division.
Pick: Washington 24, Philadelphia 21.

NFL picks, predictions for Week 7: Seahawks silence Cardinals; Titans edge Steelers; Bears stay hot.
Week 7 of the NFL season comes with several intriguing matchups.
The Steelers and Titans meet in a battle of undefeated teams in the 1 p.m. window, and that promises to be a tight matchup between two black-and-blue teams. There are seven divisional matchups, including a 4:25 p.m. showdown between the Cardinals and Seahawks. That will be a showcase between Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray.
The prime-time slots feature a "Sunday Night Football" matchup between the Buccaneers and Raiders and a "Monday Night Football" matchup between the Bears and Rams.
It’s a tough schedule to pick, but Sporting News is back for more:
Last Week: 7-5 (before Monday’s games) Season: 24-15 (before Monday’s games)
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 7 of the NFL season. As always, our point spreads are courtesy of Sports Insider.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 7.
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-6)
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX/NFL Network.
Carson Wentz didn’t throw an interception for the first time all season in a loss against the Ravens, and that improved play continues against the Giants, who have scored more than 20 points in just one game this season. Even if Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz are out, it’s still a game that they can win.
Pick: Eagles 22, Giants 19.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Teddy Bridgewater faces his former team, and the Panthers will have a challenge against a rested defense that allows 100.2 yards per game. New Orleans' offense is back on track, and Drew Brees leads the Saints to their third straight victory.
Pick: Saints 31, Panthers 24.
Green Bay Packers (-3) at Houston Texans.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Packers flopped against the Buccaneers, and tackle David Bakthiari was injured in the second half. That's a major concern for protecting Aaron Rodgers, but the running game gets back on track with Aaron Jones against a Houston defense that allows 177.5 yards per game.
Pick: Packers 33, Texans 26.
Buffalo Bills (-11.5) at New York Jets.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Jets were shut out by Miami in Week 6, and the Bills won the first meeting 27-17. Buffalo gets back on a Sunday schedule in style behind a big game from Josh Allen, who had 312 passing yards in the first meeting.
Pick: Bills 28, Jets 13.
Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Falcons finally won their first game of the season, and Detroit has an opportunity to get back to .500. Both defenses give up more than 28 points per game, so a shootout between Matthew Stafford and Matt Ryan seems inevitable.
Pick: Lions 34, Falcons 30.
Cleveland Browns (-3.5) at Cincinnati Bengals.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
It's Baker Mayfield vs. Joe Burrow, Round II — maybe. Mayfield is dealing with a rib injury, but if he's healthy he will start against a Bengals' defense that couldn't stop the run in the first meeting. Cleveland gets back on track, but the Bengals will make it interesting in the fourth quarter.
Pick: Browns 27, Bengals 23.
Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at Washington Football Team.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Washington continues to struggle on offense — and they have averaged just 15.3 points per game in the past three losses. They might score a little more against Dallas, but the Cowboys pick up another NFC East win with Andy Dalton under center.
Pick: Cowboys 31, Redskins 22.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) at Tennessee Titans.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The league’s second-best offense meets the second-best defense, but the Steelers suffered a major blow losing Devin Bush for the season with a torn ACL. Derrick Henry — who leads the NFL with 588 rushing yards — will keep the Titans on schedule, and Ryan Tannehill makes enough plays to keep Tennessee unbeaten.
Pick: Titans 23, Steelers 20.
Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) at Arizona Cardinals.
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Seahawks are coming off a bye week, and the Cardinals are working off a short week. These teams split their meetings last year, and Kyler Murray's passing will be the key if the Cards want to keep it close.
Pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 22.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Chargers (-8)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
Jacksonville averaged just 15 points per game the past two weeks. The Chargers' defense is bad, but they will get enough stops to support Justin Herbert, who has another big day in the air.
Pick: Chargers 31, Jaguars 17.
Kansas City Chiefs (-10) at Denver Broncos.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Chiefs bounced back with a victory against the Bills, and the Broncos were sparked by the return of Drew Lock in an upset against the Patriots. Patrick Mahomes II is 5-0 with a 103.4 passer rating against Denver.
Pick: Kansas City 34, Denver 20.
San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots (-4)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Patriots are in trouble, and they are catching the 49ers at the wrong time. Jimmy Garoppolo gets enough help in the ground game, and New England questions swirl after a third-straight loss.
Pick: 49ers 24, Patriots 21.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) at Las Vegas Raiders.
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Buccaneers bounced back with a big victory against the Packers, and now Tom Brady gets to haunt Jon Gruden again. Tampa Bay's defense comes up with a late stop in a highly entertaining "Sunday Night Football" matchup.
Pick: Buccaneers 29, Raiders 23.
Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams (NL)
Monday, 8:15 p.m., NBC.
The past two Bears-Rams matchups have been slugfests, and Jared Goff has struggled in those games with no TDs and five interceptions. Chicago has won five games by seven points or fewer, and that streak continues in a road victory.

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