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football picks against the spread week 12
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п»їNFL picks, predictions against spread Week 12: Chiefs edge Bucs; Eagles stun Seahawks; Raiders rebound.
Our Week 11 picks and predictions straight up and against the spread can be summed up in one word: Bru-tal. Injury effects and wild last-minute finishes all didn't go in the right way, leading to the toughest results of the season.
There's only one way to overcome what just happened — focus on doing better with the next set of pigskin prognostications. It's time to remain fearless with Sporting News' weekly pro football forecast, diving headfirst into every upcoming matchup.
Week 12 brings up a lot of close lines, starting with two games on Thanksgiving Thursday. Here's to your health and here's to being more feast than famine with the picks. This week, we get a full heaping of 16 games with no teams on bye:
В© Provided by Sporting News patrick-mahomes-112220-ftr-getty.
NFL picks against the spread for Week 12.
Game of the Week: Chiefs (-3, 53 o/u) at Buccaneers.
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Chiefs are coming off a thrilling, emotional last-minute comeback win over the Raiders. The Buccaneers are coming off a short week with a physical Monday night game against the Rams. This game simply comes down to whether you like Patrick Mahomes and his weapons to outperform Tom Brady and his. At this point, counting against Mahomes is a mistake. He'll be under less pressure than Brady and will come through with another clutch fourth-quarter drive.
Pick: Chiefs win 31-27 and cover the spread.
NFC Game of the Week: Bears at Packers (-8, 45 o/u)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Packers know they will have red-hot Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, trying to make up for the Colts loss by finishing better. The Bears don't know if they will have Nick Foles, MItchell Trubisky or Tyler Bray at quarterback. Coming off a bye helps for a strong Chicago defense, but the offense will cost the distant second-place team in the NFC North another prime-time division game.
Pick: Packers win 27-20 but fail to cover the spread.
Lock of the Week: Bills (-5.5, 54 o/u) over Chargers.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Bills are coming off a bye and should have their offense revved up around Josh Allen to attack a Chargers' secondary that's really struggling. Justin Herbert will duel him well, but he's also going into a hostile environment with some weather concerns on a cross-country trip against a Buffalo defense that can dial up some good pressure.
Pick: Bills win 34-17 and cover the spread.
Upset of the Week: Eagles over Seahawks (-5.5, 51 o/u)
Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN.
The Eagles desperately need this game to hold off the pack of even weaker NFC East teams behind them. They came through with a key win over the 49ers earlier and get that result here at home in prime time. The Seahawks are much more vulnerable on the road defensively. Wentz uses all his weapons and running style to outduel Russell Wilson with some help from his defense, too.
Pick: Eagles win 27-24.
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Dolphins (-7, 44.5 o/u) at Jets.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Dolphins need to shake off that bad loss against the Broncos and resettle at quarterback with Tua Tagovailoa. The good news is they did pitch a shutout against the Jets the first time. The bad news is New York seems to playing with a little more life to keep from going winless. Miami still wins on the strength of the defense, but it's another grind offensively to edge a team led by former coach Adam Gase.
Pick: Dolphins win 23-20 but fail to cover the spread.
Cardinals (-2.5, 49.5 o/u) at Patriots.
The Cardinals profile very similarly to the Texans, who just ripped the Patriots with a running QB and big pass plays all over the field. Kyler Murray is hard to stop and the Patriots' front seven is not equipped to do so with limited speed. They also will have trouble contaning DeAndre Hopkins downfield. The Cardinals' defense has a lot of holes, but they pick spots to slow down and stop Cam Newton.
Pick: Cardinals win 27-20 and cover the spread.
Panthers at Vikings (-4.5, 49.5 o/u)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Vikings' defense put them in a tough spot again in the loss to the Cowboys. They need to get ahead of the game script and blast Dalvin Cook to a big lead. The Panthers' run defense is terrible, so you can bet Cook will be fed all day to compensate for the Dallas experience. Teddy Bridgewater, if he returns from his knee injury as expected, has a nice chance for a good "revenge" game, but Cook's constant chunk running will put this game out of reach in the end.
Pick: Vikings win 31-24 and cover the spread.
В© Provided by Sporting News Dalvin-Cook-010520-Getty-FTR.jpg.
Titans at Colts (-3.5, 50.5 o/u)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Titans' offense woke up with a monster day from Derrick Henry to come back and clip the Ravens. The Colts' mighty defense is a different story, coming off the confidence of a Week 10 beatdown in Nashville. The Titans' defense still isn't very good and slowing down in many aspects, while Philip Rivers is suddenly red-hot. He delivers again as Ryan Tannehill goes back to slumping.
Pick: Colts win 27-20 and cover the spread.
Browns (-6.5, 48.5 o/u) at Jaguars.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Browns won't mess around in this game where weather won't be a factor, unlike their past three home games. Look for them to trust in a heavy dose of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in the running and short passing games, with a few calculated high-percentage big-play passes from Baker Mayfield. The Browns' defense rallied around Myles Garrett's absence last week and does it again this week, facing Mike Glennon.
Pick: Browns win 30-20 and cover the spread.
Giants (-5.5, 42.5 o/u) at Bengals.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Giants get a massive break after the bye as Daniel Jones has a much better chance of outdueling Brandon Allen on the road than Joe Burrow. The Giants' defense is well rested and will go hard after Allen, forcing sacks and mistakes. The Bengals' defense is ill-equipped to stop any of Jones' versatile weapons.
Pick: Giants win 23-17 and cover the spread.
Raiders (-3, 55 o/u) at Falcons.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Raiders will shake off that Mahomes magic loss of Week 11 in style with a strong road trip to the NFC South. Derek Carr is playing too well to be contained by the Falcons awful pass coverage with no rush behind it, taking advantage when they blitz. Matt Ryan can't seem to keep his key receivers healthy and now his offensive line and running game are crumbling at the wrong time for an improving, youthful defense.
Pick: Raiders win 31-27 and cover the spread.
В© Provided by Sporting News Derek-Carr-101420-GETTY-FTR Ravens at Steelers (-3, 45)
Tuesday, 8 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Ravens are going into this road game reeling from the devastating loss to the Titans and have new COVID-19 concerns (Mark Ingram, J.K. Dobbins). Lamar Jackson is coming off a rough home game and the Steelers' defense won't make things any easier on the road in this rematch. Pittsburgh found its balance and explosiveness last week while Baltimore's once nasty defense keeps wilting everywhere.
Pick: Steelers win 27-20 and cover the spread.
49ers at Rams (-6.5, 46.5 o/u)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox.
The 49ers will still have Nick Mullens starting at quarterback but they should be healthier in their skill support at running back and wide receiver. Kyle Shanahan and Robert Saleh would have game-planned well during the bye for a team they were able to beat when healthy in Week 5. With the 49ers rested and the Rams tired from Monday night, look for a tighter rematch than expected at SoFi Stadium.
Pick: Rams win 24-20 but fail to cover the spread.
Saints at Broncos (-5.5, 44 o/u)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox.
Taysom Hill shined in his home debut as a starting quarterback, but now goes to a hostile road environment in the elements, back in Mountain West country. The Broncos woke up defensively with a good pass rush and more respectable run defense. They tend to play better at home while the Saints, Drew Brees or not, aren't the best west- and outdoor-traveling team. They still survive with the better running game and the superior run defense.
Pick: Saints win 23-20 but fail to cover the spread.
Game of the Midweek I: Texans (-2.5, -51.5) at Lions.
Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Texans have Deshaun Watson cooking with gas with all of his wide receivers and is also feeling it as a runner. They have great confidence offensively after having their way with the Patriots. They draw a weaker defense this week and their run defense will get another break, assuming D'Andre Swift misses another game with a concussion. Houston has been more motivated without Bill O'Brien while Detroit is now going through the motions with Matt Patricia.
Pick: Texans win 27-24 and cover the spread.
Result: Texans won 41-25.
Game of the Midweek II: Washington Football Team at Cowboys (-2.5, 46.5)
Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET, Fox.
Andy Dalton finally played well filling in for Dak Prescott, a far cry from his first effort against Washington. The Cowboys also got their running game going with Ezekiel Elliott to help and also played more inspired defense against the Vikings. Dalton has more weapons than Alex Smith and Dallas evens the season series at home to resurrect its NFC East chances.
Pick: Cowboys win 24-20 and cover the spread.

Mark Craig's Week 12 NFL picks against the spread.
Look away, Bears fans.
This week's Upset Special assumes Chicago spent last week's bye figuring out a way to score at least 21 points and sneak out of Lambeau Field with a victory that will shock the "Sunday Night Football" audience.
Sorry for the jinx, Bears fans. (And, while we're at it, sorry for that tweet about how there was no way the kicker would miss right before that whole double-doink thing in the playoffs a couple of years back).
But the gut instinct here is to snap Chicago's four-game losing streak and hand the wobbling Packers and Matt LaFleur back-to-back losses for the first time in LaFleur's 29 games as Packers coach.
As for the Vikings, well, they keep zagging when we pickers zig.
We all assumed they would win last week. They lost.
This week, they're back to being a lousy team that's 1-4 at home. All hope has been lost. It's over.
So, give us a Vikings win over Carolina, Teddy or no Teddy!
Year to date: 102-58-1; 81-79-1.
Vikings games: 5-5.
Here are Thursday's picks:
Texans (-2ВЅ) at Lions: Texans 27, Lions 10.
A week after becoming the only team not named the Jets to be shut out this season, Detroit looks sleepy enough to nap along with the rest of us through this Thanksgiving Day opener.
Are the Cowboys on the upswing and ready to compete in the NFC Least? Or did they win last week because the Vikings' pass rush couldn't get within a sniff of Andy Dalton? These teams played in October. Washington beat up Dalton and eventually knocked him out of the game. Washington's pass rush makes the difference in this one.
Here are Sunday's picks:
The marquee game of the week was moved from Thursday night to Sunday afternoon after a COVID-19 outbreak on the Ravens. With a depleted Baltimore roster and Lamar Jackson's 2019 dominance failing to surface in 2020, there's no reason to go against the undefeated Steelers. Pittsburgh won the first meeting this season 28-24 as Jackson suffered two picks and four sacks while being contained as a runner.
The roller coaster continues. No longer presumed to win the next two games and even their record at 6-6, the Vikings will, naturally, do just that. The offense has the ability to outscore old friend Teddy Bridgewater, P.J. Walker or anybody else the Panthers put at quarterback. Score: Vikings 38, Panthers 25.
Raiders (-3) at Falcons: Raiders by 6.
The Raiders are 4-1 on the road and Derek Carr is playing way too well for Atlanta's defense to keep up.
Cardinals (-2ВЅ) at Patriots: Patriots by 3.
The urge continues to be to pick the Patriots. But my football therapist tells me to repeat the following: Don't pick the Patriots. Don't pick the Patriots. DO NOT pick the Patriots! Oops.
Giants (-6) at Bengals: Giants by 7.
The Giants win their third straight game while smacking around Brandon Allen. Might be one of the easier picks of the week.
Browns (-6ВЅ) at Jaguars: Browns by 10.
People keep picking the Browns to win games. And they keep winning games. A win Sunday would snap Cleveland's 12-year streak of losing seasons.
The Colts hammered the Titans for all the world to see in prime time three weeks ago. So the logical pick obviously is Tennessee to win the rematch.
Justin Herbert will face a tougher defense than Josh Allen will. The Bills finally get to move on from that Cardinals Hail Mary.
Dolphins (-7) at Jets: Dolphins by 3.
The Jets will start slow, show some life, blah, blah, blah, and then lose.
Saints (-6) at Broncos: Saints by 3.
Riding a seven-game win streak, the Saints are so due to lose this one on the road. But their run defense will put the game in Drew Lock's hands. And that won't get it done for Denver.
Dare we say it? Defense and Jared Goff have the Rams looking like the … best team in the NFC?! My apologies, Rams fans.
Chiefs (-3) at Buccaneers: Buccaneers by 5.
It's hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes. Even against Tom Brady. So let's bet against a Chiefs defense that's given up 31 points in each of the last two weeks.
Seahawks (-5) at Eagles: Seahawks by 7.
Russell Wilson > Carson Wentz. Nothing else matters.
Yeah, I know. It's hard to imagine the Bears offense scoring 21 points. So make one of Chicago's touchdowns a defensive score.

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